L. Talan Lopatic vs Alexander Wagner — M15 Mistelbach Round of 32
M15 Mistelbach · ITF · Round of 32
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
Talan Lopatic L.4-6 4-6
Wagner A.
Talan Lopatic L.
440
Wagner A.
662
Alexander Wagner defeated L. Talan Lopatic 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Mistelbach tournament on clay. Wagner and Lopatic were even in aces, 2-2, but Wagner had fewer double faults, 2-6. Wagner converted 50% of break points, compared to Lopatic's 20%, and won four service breaks to Lopatic's two.
Key context
- Match story: Alexander Wagner edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
77%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Even
0.3
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCTalan Lopatic L.48%
Wagner A.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
20°CRain
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 80%