Daniil Glinka vs Elias Ymer — Kingston Round of 16

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

EST6

Daniil Glinka

#160ATP

1477ELO

1491Hard ELO

$131kYTD

$268kCAREER

26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWWLWLLW

2 — 0

Sets

Wednesday, 19 August 2026 · 10:15

hard

GRANDSTAND · 1st on

SWE

Elias Ymer

#212ATP

1548ELO

1527Hard ELO

$191kYTD

$2.4MCAREER

30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLLWLLWWW

Glinka D.

6-4 6-3

Ymer E.

Glinka D.

662

Ymer E.

430

Daniil Glinka advanced to the quarterfinals of the Kingston hard-court tournament by defeating Elias Ymer in the Round of 16. The match ended in straight sets, 6-4, 6-3 in favor of Glinka.

Key context

Match story: Daniil Glinka closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Glinka D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ymer E.

Ymer E.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Glinka D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Glinka D.Ymer E.

—

Serve

—

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Glinka D.Ymer E.

1st serve in·Even

58%

61%

1st serve points won·Even

71%

73%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

Service points won·Even

62%

64%

Return points won·Even

38%

35%

Break points saved·Even

60%

57%

Aces / match·Even

5.3

5.7

Double faults / match·Even

2.6

2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Glinka D.Ymer E.

Clutch Rating·Even

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC

Glinka D.43%

Ymer E.57%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Glinka D.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Ymer E.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.5Hard Elo 1491

Surface ELO

5.5+36 Hard Elo edge

4.1Overall Elo 1477

ELO gap

5.9Overall Elo 1548

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.46 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.45 of last 10 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Glinka D.Ymer E.

Freshness·Clear edge

Glinka D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Ymer E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather

32°CMainly clear

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 50%

Daniil Glinka vs Elias Ymer — Kingston Round of 16

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard