Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot — Kingston Quarter-final

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
EST6
Daniil Glinka
#156ATP
1477ELO
1491Hard ELO
$131kYTD
$268kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
Harold Mayot
FRA
Harold Mayot
#264ATP
1571ELO
1548Hard ELO
$73kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWL
Glinka D.
6-3 6-4
Mayot H.
Glinka D.
662
Mayot H.
340

Daniil Glinka defeated Harold Mayot in the quarterfinals of the Kingston hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-4 in favor of Glinka.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniil Glinka closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Glinka D.Mayot H.
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Glinka D.Mayot H.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
23
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
92
Break points won·Clear edge
9
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
32
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Glinka D.42%
Mayot H.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mayot H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Glinka D.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Mayot H.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1491
Surface ELO
5.7+57 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1571
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Glinka D.Mayot H.
Freshness·Clear edge
67
90

Glinka D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Mayot H.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw