Duncan Chan vs Taro DanielQuebec City Round of 32

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#486ATP
21 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE · 2nd on
#186ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLWW
Chan D.
3-6 2-6
Daniel T.
Chan D.
320
Daniel T.
662

Taro Daniel defeated Duncan Chan 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the Quebec City tournament. Daniel served 1 ace and 0 double faults, while Chan served 5 aces and 2 double faults. Daniel converted 67% of his break points and won 74% of his first-serve points, breaking Chan's serve 4 times en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Dominant
0%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Chan D.44%
Daniel T.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
69

Chan D.: 15 days rest · Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw