Jan Choinski vs Taro Daniel — Quebec City Round of 16
GBR3
JPNQ
Choinski J.
Taro Daniel defeated Jan Choinski 6-4, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Quebec City tournament. Daniel served 7 aces to Choinski's 3 and converted 57% of his break points, while Choinski converted all of his break points but only won 71% of his first-serve points. Daniel won the match with 4 service breaks to Choinski's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Taro Daniel closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-01 | Hong Kong | Q2 | hard | Taro Daniel | 6-4 3-6 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadChoinski J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About