Edward Winter vs Gonzalo Bueno — Kingston Round of 16
Kingston · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
AUSQ#355ATP
1434ELO
1404Hard ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 3rd on
PER7#178ATP
1491ELO
1314Hard ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWWW
Winter E.4-6 2-6
Bueno G.
Winter E.
420
Bueno G.
662
Gonzalo Bueno defeated Edward Winter 6-4 6-2 in the Kingston round of 16 on hard.
Key context
- Match story: Gonzalo Bueno dropped just 6 games past Edward Winter.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTCWinter E.53%
Bueno G.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
6.1+90 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.9Hard Elo 1314
4.3Overall Elo 1434
ELO gap5.7Overall Elo 1491
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form3.63 of last 9 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streakFatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
33°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 57%