Valentin Royer vs Gonzalo Bueno — Kingston Quarter-final

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Valentin Royer
FRA1
Valentin Royer
#74ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 1st on
PER7
Gonzalo Bueno
#172ATP
1491ELO
1314Hard ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Royer V.
6-1 6-1
Bueno G.
Royer V.
662
Bueno G.
110

Valentin Royer defeated Gonzalo Bueno in the quarterfinals of the Kingston hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 6-1 in favor of Royer.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Royer V.Bueno G.
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
44%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Royer V.Bueno G.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
45
Break points saved·Dominant
94
29
Break points won·Clear edge
30
45
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
62
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Royer V.76%
Bueno G.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Royer V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Royer V.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Bueno G.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.4+271 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1314
6.9Overall Elo 1641
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1491
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.74 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Royer V.Bueno G.
Freshness·Slight edge
81
86

Royer V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Bueno G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CDrizzle
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw