Luca Parenti vs Blu BakerM25 Lesa Round of 32

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32
#1724ATP
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
#972ATP
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWW
Parenti L.
2-6 6-4 4-6
Baker B.
Parenti L.
2641
Baker B.
6462

Blu Baker defeated Luca Parenti in the Round of 32 at the M25 Lesa tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 4-6, 6-4. Baker served zero aces and committed three double faults, while Parenti had three aces and seven double faults. Baker converted 50% of break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Parenti's three service breaks and 50% break point conversion.

Key context

  • Match story: Blu Baker closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
67%
1st serve points won·
62%
2nd serve points won·
46%
Service points won·
57%
Return points won·
36%
Break points saved·
62%
Aces / match·
1.7
Double faults / match·
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Parenti L.31%
Baker B.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Baker B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw