Blu Baker vs Andrea De Marchi — M25 Lesa Round of 16

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 16
GBR
Blu Baker
#972ATP
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 22 August 2026 ·
clay
ITA
Andrea De Marchi
#687ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Baker B.
6-2 4-6 0-1
De Marchi A.
Baker B.
6401
De Marchi A.
2612

Andrea De Marchi advanced to the quarterfinals of the M25 Lesa tournament with a win over Blu Baker in the Round of 16. De Marchi came back from a set down to take the match 2-6, 6-4, 1-0. The match saw De Marchi and Baker each hit one ace, with De Marchi committing two double faults to Baker's five.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Baker B.De Marchi A.
1st serve in·
—
65%
1st serve points won·
—
68%
2nd serve points won·
—
51%
Service points won·
—
62%
Return points won·
—
49%
Break points saved·
—
50%
Aces / match·
—
2.5
Double faults / match·
—
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Baker B.52%
De Marchi A.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baker B.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
De Marchi A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw