Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo — Brownsburg Round of 32

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Stefan Kozlov
USAALT
Stefan Kozlov
#296ATP
1429ELO
1408Hard ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
BB WYNNE COURT · 1st on
USAQ
Aidan Mayo
#616ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Kozlov S.
6-3 5-7 6-2
Mayo A.
Kozlov S.
6562
Mayo A.
3721

Stefan Kozlov defeated Aidan Mayo in the Round of 32 at the Brownsburg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 5-7, 6-2 in favor of Kozlov. Key stats included Kozlov's 72% first-serve win percentage and 43% break points converted, compared to Mayo's 63% and 25%, respectively.

Key context

  • Match story: Stefan Kozlov closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-16M25 Xalapa 1QFhardStefan Kozlov6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
Kozlov S.Mayo A.
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kozlov S.Mayo A.
Clutch Rating·Even
11
12
Break points saved·Dominant
29
68
Break points won·Dominant
35
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
7
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Kozlov S.40%
Mayo A.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mayo A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kozlov S.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Mayo A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+49 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1359
5.6Overall Elo 1429
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1380
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
2.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.8Won 62% in Usa (24)
Country comfort
5.0Won 50% in Usa (56)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kozlov S.Mayo A.
Freshness·Even
86
82

Kozlov S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Mayo A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CRain
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 98%

Draw