Naoya Honda vs Nikita Filin — M25 East Lansing Round of 32
M25 East Lansing · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 ·
hard
Honda N.vs
Filin N.
Naoya Honda faces Nikita Filin in the M25 East Lansing round of 32 on hard. Naoya Honda holds the paper edge — ranked #660, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCHonda N.75%
Filin N.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Honda N. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Naoya Honda leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Champaign, Il 2026.
- Surface form: Naoya Honda 6 of 10, Nikita Filin 5 of 10 on hard recently — Naoya Honda the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.0Lost last 2
Win streakFatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.5Won 42% in Usa (24)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
12 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
54%
—
1st serve points won·
76%
—
2nd serve points won·
54%
—
Service points won·
66%
—
Return points won·
42%
—
Break points saved·
53%
—
Aces / match·
5.2
—
Double faults / match·
3.8
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 87%
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | M25 Champaign, Il | QF | hard | Naoya Honda | 6-7(4) 3-6 |