Nikita Filin vs Naoya HondaM25 Champaign Quarter-final

M25 Champaign · ITF · Quarter-final
#1439ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
#660ATP
1240ELO
1236Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Filin N.
6-7 3-6
Honda N.
Filin N.
6430
Honda N.
7762

Naoya Honda defeated Nikita Filin 7-6, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the M25 Champaign tournament. Honda won 85% of his first-serve points and converted one of five break points, while Filin did not convert any of his break-point chances. Honda secured one service break en route to the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Naoya Honda closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
54%
1st serve points won·
76%
2nd serve points won·
54%
Service points won·
66%
Return points won·
42%
Break points saved·
53%
Aces / match·
5.2
Double faults / match·
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Filin N.48%
Honda N.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw