Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi — Montreal Round of 16
POR
ITA19
Borges N.
Nuno Borges faces Luciano Darderi in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. Nuno Borges holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Nuno Borges comes in with 1 days of rest and 67 games in 14d, vs Luciano Darderi's 1 and 111.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Nuno Borges grades 38 on serve, Luciano Darderi 47 on return.
- Last match: Luciano Darderi dropped the opening set before beating Juncheng Shang 4–6 6–1 6–4.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBorges N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Darderi L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Bastad | QF | clay | Luciano Darderi | 6-7(9) 4-6 |
| 2026-06-25 | Mallorca | QF | grass | Nuno Borges | 6-7 4-6 |
| 2025-01-06 | Auckland | R32 | hard | Nuno Borges | 5-7 6-3 7-5 |