Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosM25 Londrina Final

M25 Londrina · ITF · Final
#567ATP
1477ELO
1469Clay ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
clay
#528ATP
1154ELO
1144Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Meligeni Alves F.
6-3 7-5
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
Meligeni Alves F.
672
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
350

Felipe Meligeni Alves won the M25 Londrina final, defeating Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 6-3, 7-5. Alves served effectively, producing 5 aces and 2 double faults, and converted 67% of his break points to secure 2 service breaks. In contrast, Saraiva Dos Santos converted none of his break points and was ultimately unable to overcome Alves' strong serving.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-26M25 Sao PauloFclayFelipe Meligeni Alves6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Meligeni Alves F.79%
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Meligeni Alves F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.1+325 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Clay Elo 1144
9.0Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1154
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.58 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
64
59

Meligeni Alves F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw