Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosM25 Sao Paulo Final

M25 Sao Paulo · ITF · Final
#567ATP
1477ELO
1469Clay ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
#528ATP
1154ELO
1144Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Meligeni Alves F.
6-4 6-3
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
Meligeni Alves F.
662
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
430

Felipe Meligeni Alves won the M25 Sao Paulo final, defeating Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 6-4, 6-3 on clay. Alves converted 43% of his break points and secured three service breaks, while his opponent did not manage to break his serve. Alves served two aces and committed one double fault, compared to two aces and three double faults for Saraiva Dos Santos.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-08M25 LondrinaFclayFelipe Meligeni Alves6-3 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Meligeni Alves F.84%
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Meligeni Alves F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.1+325 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Clay Elo 1144
9.0Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1154
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.58 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
83

Meligeni Alves F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw