Maximo Zeitune vs Felipe Meligeni AlvesM25 Londrina Semi-final

M25 Londrina · ITF · Semi-final
#645ATP
1044ELO
1033Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
clay
#567ATP
1477ELO
1469Clay ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Zeitune M.
6-3 2-6 3-6
Meligeni Alves F.
Zeitune M.
6231
Meligeni Alves F.
3662

Felipe Meligeni Alves defeated Maximo Zeitune in the semifinals of the M25 Londrina tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-2, 6-3. Alves hit 5 aces and did not commit a double fault, converting 75% of his break points and winning 78% of his first-serve points. Alves secured 3 service breaks to Zeitune's 1 en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Zeitune M.17%
Meligeni Alves F.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Meligeni Alves F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1033
Surface ELO
10.0+436 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1044
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
64

Meligeni Alves F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw