Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen — Montreal Round of 32
Montreal · ATP · Round of 32
—
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#42ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$797kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWWL
Merida Aguilar D.vs
Michelsen A.
Daniel Merida Aguilar faces Alex Michelsen in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. Alex Michelsen holds the paper edge — ranked #42, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage.
Key context
- Freshness: Daniel Merida Aguilar comes in with 1 days of rest and 29 games in 14d, vs Alex Michelsen's 1 and 220.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Alex Michelsen grades 26 on serve, Daniel Merida Aguilar 78 on return.
- Last match: Daniel Merida Aguilar dropped the opening set before beating Liam Draxl 3–6 6–4 6–4.
Common opponents
Last 12 months5 common opponents · Merida Aguilar D. 2–3 · Michelsen A. 3–4
Both lost · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
38 vs 33 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
6.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEven serve battle
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
55
64
Break points saved·Dominant
64
91
Break points won·Clear edge
46
33
Deciding sets·Even
87
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
49
83
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
78
56
Merida Aguilar D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | R128 | hard | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 6-4 |