Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Indian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Alex Michelsen
USA
Alex Michelsen
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
ESP
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1744ELO
1676Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Michelsen A.
6-3 6-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Michelsen A.
662
Merida Aguilar D.
340

Alex Michelsen defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Merida Aguilar D.
34
Serve
—
46
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Michelsen A.Merida Aguilar D.
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Michelsen A.Merida Aguilar D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
55
Break points saved·Dominant
98
64
Break points won·Even
46
46
Deciding sets·Even
91
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Michelsen A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Merida Aguilar D.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.5+135 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1676
5.6Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
7.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Michelsen A.Merida Aguilar D.
Freshness·Dominant
61
92

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Medvedev D.[11]
7-667-64
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[11]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-37-63
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[4]
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Tien L.[25]
6-16-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Norrie C.[27]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[4]
Fils A.[30]
6-26-3
Medvedev D.[11]
Draper J.[14]
6-17-5
R16
Sinner J.[2]
Fonseca J.
7-667-64
Tien L.[25]
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
4-66-17-64
Medvedev D.[11]
Michelsen A.
6-26-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Ruud C.[13]
6-17-62
Draper J.[14]
Djokovic N.[3]
4-66-47-65
Fils A.[30]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-37-69
Zverev A.[4]
Tiafoe F.[21]
6-36-4
Norrie C.[27]
Hijikata R.
6-46-2
R32
Fonseca J.
Paul T.[23]
6-26-3
Michelsen A.
Fritz T.[7]
6-47-66
Sinner J.[2]
Shapovalov D.
6-36-2
Norrie C.[27]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-46-4
Draper J.[14]
Cerundolo F.[19]
6-17-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Rinderknech A.[26]
6-766-36-2
Ruud C.[13]
Vacherot V.[24]
3-66-36-4
Fils A.[30]
Fucsovics M.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[4]
Nakashima B.[28]
7-625-76-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
Mensik J.[12]
6-24-66-2
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Diallo G.
6-756-36-3
Medvedev D.[11]
Baez S.
6-46-0
Djokovic N.[3]
Kovacevic A.
6-41-66-4
Hijikata R.
Bublik A.[10]
6-737-636-3
Tiafoe F.[21]
Cobolli F.[15]
6-16-2
Tien L.[25]
Shelton B.[8]
7-634-66-3
R64
Tien L.[25]
Walton A.
7-637-68
Sinner J.[2]
Svrcina D.
6-16-1
Fucsovics M.
Musetti L.[5]
7-56-1
Rinderknech A.[26]
Cerundolo J.
W/O
Fils A.[30]
Prizmic D.
6-23-2
Paul T.[23]
Bergs Z.
6-16-2
Michelsen A.
Humbert U.[32]
7-56-757-66
Cerundolo F.[19]
Bonzi B.
6-45-77-65
Tiafoe F.[21]
Brooksby J.
6-46-2
Baez S.
Lehecka J.[22]
6-46-1
Norrie C.[27]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-3
Fonseca J.
Khachanov K.[16]
4-67-676-4
Ruud C.[13]
Shevchenko A.
6-17-64
Hijikata R.
Darderi L.[20]
4-66-26-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
Svajda Z.
7-606-2
Medvedev D.[11]
Tabilo A.
6-46-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-26-3
Vacherot V.[24]
Borges N.
7-57-5
Kovacevic A.
Moutet C.[31]
6-16-4
Draper J.[14]
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-36-2
Mensik J.[12]
Giron M.
7-57-64
Zverev A.[4]
Berrettini M.
6-36-4
Fritz T.[7]
Fearnley J.
6-36-786-1
De Minaur A.[6]
Korda S.
4-66-46-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Majchrzak K.
4-66-16-2
Nakashima B.[28]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-36-4
Cobolli F.[15]
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-36-4
Diallo G.
Rublev A.[17]
6-747-616-3
Bublik A.[10]
Kopriva V.
3-67-636-2
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Monfils G.
6-756-36-4
Shelton B.[8]
Opelka R.
6-737-646-3
Shapovalov D.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-32-67-65
R128
Kovacevic A.
Hurkacz H.
7-667-64
Kecmanovic M.
Altmaier D.
6-31-0
Bergs Z.
Struff J.
6-36-4
Borges N.
Nava E.
7-697-5
Shapovalov D.
Tsitsipas S.
6-23-66-4
Svajda Z.
Cilic M.
7-656-4
Fearnley J.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Hijikata R.
Maestrelli F.
7-656-4
Majchrzak K.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-31-67-5
Shevchenko A.
Shimabukuro S.
6-43-66-2
Giron M.
Navone M.
4-67-56-3
Berrettini M.
Mannarino A.
4-67-57-5
Diallo G.
Bellucci M.
7-656-4
Kopriva V.
Zheng M.
7-617-5
Fonseca J.
Collignon R.
7-626-4
Brooksby J.
Popyrin A.
6-36-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Damm M.
7-656-3
Prizmic D.
Schoolkate T.
7-653-67-5
Walton A.
Halys Q.
6-36-3
Svrcina D.
Duckworth J.
6-26-4
Baez S.
Tseng C.
6-36-2
Cerundolo J.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-636-756-3
Korda S.
Comesana F.
7-56-0
Mcdonald M.
Arnaldi M.
6-06-1
Monfils G.
Galarneau A.
6-36-4
Bonzi B.
Royer V.
6-46-3
Tabilo A.
Jodar R.
6-16-2
Dimitrov G.
Atmane T.
6-45-76-4
Opelka R.
Quinn E.
7-57-63
Michelsen A.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-4
Bautista Agut R.
Marozsan F.
6-46-726-4
Fucsovics M.
Oconnell C.
7-56-3