Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez — Toronto Round of 64
GRE29
Sakkari M.
Maria Sakkari faces Zeynep Sonmez in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Maria Sakkari holds the paper edge — ranked #33, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Maria Sakkari 0 games in 14 days, Zeynep Sonmez 83.
- Serve & return: Maria Sakkari leads on Serve Rating (33), Zeynep Sonmez on Return Rating (53).
- Last match: Zeynep Sonmez edged Rebecca Marino in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSakkari M.: 16 days rest · Sonmez Z.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Doha | R64 | hard | Maria Sakkari | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2025-02-24 | Merida | R32 | hard | Zeynep Sonmez | 7-5 6-2 |