Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia PotapovaToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#75WTA
1850ELO
1754Hard ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWWWWL
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#27WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLWWW
Gabriela Ruse E.
vs
Potapova A.

Elena Gabriela Ruse faces Anastasia Potapova in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Anastasia Potapova holds the paper edge — ranked #27, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Gabriela Ruse E.34%
Potapova A.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Potapova A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
10 common opponents · Gabriela Ruse E. 6–6 · Potapova A. 8–4
Potapova A. better · same surface, 0 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1754
Surface ELO
5.6+50 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1850
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1904
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
5.0
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gabriela Ruse E.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gabriela Ruse E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
58
Break points saved·Dominant
8
34
Break points won·Even
88
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
88

Gabriela Ruse E.: 20 days rest · Potapova A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CDrizzle
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw