Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Peyton StearnsToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#75WTA
1850ELO
1754Hard ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#58WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWLWWL
Gabriela Ruse E.
vs
Stearns P.

Elena Gabriela Ruse faces Peyton Stearns in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Peyton Stearns holds the paper edge — ranked #58.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Gabriela Ruse E.43%
Stearns P.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
8 common opponents · Gabriela Ruse E. 2–7 · Stearns P. 5–5
Gabriela Ruse E. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1754
Surface ELO
5.0+0 Hard Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1850
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1804
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gabriela Ruse E.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gabriela Ruse E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
42
44
Break points saved·Clear edge
8
30
Break points won·Slight edge
88
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
25
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
64

Gabriela Ruse E.: 18 days rest · Stearns P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw