Iva Jovic vs Magda LinetteToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#16WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.8MCAREER
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWWL
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#65WTA
1831ELO
1780Hard ELO
$732kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWWWLW
Jovic I.
vs
Linette M.

Iva Jovic faces Magda Linette in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Iva Jovic holds the paper edge — ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 3–0, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Jovic I.74%
Linette M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jovic I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
14 common opponents · Jovic I. 9–9 · Linette M. 7–9
Linette M. better · same surface · 6 months apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+68 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1780
5.9Overall Elo 1906
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1831
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jovic I.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Linette M.

Linette M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Jovic I.

Serve advantage — Jovic I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
51
Break points saved·Dominant
95
18
Break points won·Dominant
98
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
85
Tiebreaks·
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Linette M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR64clayIva Jovic6-4 6-1
2026-01-12HobartQFhardIva Jovic6-3 6-7 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardIva Jovic6-4 6-3

Draw