Carol Zhao vs Magda Linette — Toronto Round of 128
Zhao C.
Carol Zhao faces Magda Linette in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Magda Linette holds the paper edge — ranked #65, a roughly 380-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Linette M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Magda Linette has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 51 vs 10).
- Fatigue load: Carol Zhao carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadZhao C.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Linette M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.