Ann Li vs Kayla Cross — Toronto Round of 64
USA28
Li A.
Ann Li faces Kayla Cross in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Ann Li is the paper favourite — ranked #31, a roughly 310-point hard Elo advantage — but Kayla Cross arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard to Ann Li's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Li A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Kayla Cross edged Katie Boulter in two tight sets (7–6 7–5).
- Surface form: Ann Li 1 of 4, Kayla Cross 2 of 4 on hard recently — Kayla Cross the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.