Katie Boulter vs Kayla Cross — Toronto Round of 128
Boulter K.
Katie Boulter faces Kayla Cross in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Katie Boulter holds the paper edge — ranked #69, a roughly 360-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Boulter K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Kayla Cross rising, Katie Boulter cooling.
- Fatigue load: Katie Boulter carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBoulter K.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Cross K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.