Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie — Montreal Round of 64
Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
PER29#33ATP
1822ELO
1662Hard ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWLWLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#37ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLWLL
Buse I.vs
Norrie C.
Ignacio Buse faces Cameron Norrie in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Ignacio Buse holds the paper edge — ranked #33.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCBuse I.44%
Norrie C.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Ignacio Buse comes in with 12 days of rest and 44 games in 14d, vs Cameron Norrie's 0 and 104.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Cameron Norrie has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 87 vs 63).
- Last match: Cameron Norrie edged Camilo Ugo Carabelli in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Common opponents
Last 12 months10 common opponents · Buse I. 6–5 · Norrie C. 9–3
Both won · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1662
Surface ELO6.6+127 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap5.1Overall Elo 1829
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streakFatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
32 vs 28 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEven serve battle
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 71%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.