Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer MollerHagen Round of 16

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#232ATP
1492ELO
1465Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
clay
PLATZMANN CENTRE COURT · 3rd on
#172ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$155kYTD
$727kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLL
Brancaccio R.
6-7 6-7
Moller E.
Brancaccio R.
660
Moller E.
772

Elmer Moller advanced to the quarterfinals at the Hagen tournament, defeating Raul Brancaccio in the Round of 16. Moller won in straight sets, taking the match 7-6, 7-6. In the match, Moller hit one ace and seven double faults, while Brancaccio had no aces and four double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
6.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
69
Break points saved·Dominant
49
81
Break points won·Dominant
19
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Brancaccio R.29%
Moller E.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Moller E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1465
Surface ELO
6.6+128 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1492
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1609
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
73

Brancaccio R.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Moller E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw