Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend — Toronto Round of 64
CZE21
Bouzkova M.
Marie Bouzkova faces Taylor Townsend in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Marie Bouzkova is the paper favourite — ranked #24 — but Taylor Townsend has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Bouzkova M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Marie Bouzkova 75 games in 14 days, Taylor Townsend 22.
- Serve & return: Taylor Townsend brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 55), Marie Bouzkova the stronger return game (Return Rating 83).
- Last match: Taylor Townsend edged Tereza Valentova in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBouzkova M.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Townsend T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | Rome | R64 | clay | Taylor Townsend | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | R128 | hard | Taylor Townsend | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | R16 | hard | Marie Bouzkova | 7-5 7-6 |