Tereza Valentova vs Taylor TownsendToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#64WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLLWWLL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#105WTA
1826ELO
1796Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLWWWW
Valentova T.
vs
Townsend T.

Tereza Valentova faces Taylor Townsend in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Tereza Valentova holds the paper edge — ranked #64.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Valentova T.57%
Townsend T.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
4 common opponents · Valentova T. 3–2 · Townsend T. 4–1 · small sample
Both lost · same surface, 19 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+0 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1796
4.9Overall Elo 1818
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1826
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Valentova T.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Townsend T.

Townsend T.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Valentova T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Valentova T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw