Nuno Borges vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Montreal Round of 64
POR
Borges N.
Nuno Borges faces Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is the paper favourite — ranked #30, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage — but Nuno Borges has won all three of their previous meetings.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Nuno Borges comes in with 1 days of rest and 75 games in 14d, vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry's 7 and 79.
- Last match: Nuno Borges dropped the opening set before beating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6–7 6–2 6–4.
- Head-to-head: Nuno Borges leads the head-to-head 3–0, 1–0 on hard. Last met at Roland Garros 2026.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBorges N.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Etcheverry T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
3–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Nuno Borges | 3-6 4-6 2-6 |
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | R16 | clay | Nuno Borges | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2026-01-12 | Auckland | R32 | hard | Nuno Borges | 7-5 3-6 7-6 |