Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno BorgesMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#95ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$637kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLLLW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#49ATP
1769ELO
1714Hard ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWLWW
Kovacevic A.
vs
Borges N.

Aleksandar Kovacevic faces Nuno Borges in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Nuno Borges holds the paper edge — ranked #49, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Kovacevic A.27%
Borges N.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Borges N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
16 common opponents · Kovacevic A. 3–17 · Borges N. 7–11
Kovacevic A. better · different surfaces (Clay × Grass) · ⚠ retirement-shortened match
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1611
Surface ELO
6.3+103 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1769
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.52 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 40 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
31%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.3
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kovacevic A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Borges N.

Borges N.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
25
49
Break points saved·Even
90
93
Break points won·Clear edge
0
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
55
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
21
36

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
90

Kovacevic A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Borges N.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw