Elise Mertens vs Anna Bondar — Toronto Round of 64
BEL20
Mertens E.
Elise Mertens faces Anna Bondar in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Elise Mertens holds the paper edge — ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Mertens E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Elise Mertens has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 55 vs Anna Bondar's 0).
- Last match: Anna Bondar edged Anhelina Kalinina in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
- Head-to-head: Elise Mertens leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Toronto 2022.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBondar A.: 8 days rest · 8 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-08 | Toronto | R64 | hard | Elise Mertens | 7-6 6-1 |