Lloyd Harris vs Dusan LajovicLexington Round of 16

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#175ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 1 · 2nd on
#146ATP
1620ELO
1559Hard ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
Harris L.
6-0 3-6 4-6
Lajovic D.
Harris L.
6341
Lajovic D.
0662

Dusan Lajovic defeated Lloyd Harris in the Round of 16 at the Lexington hard-court tournament. Lajovic won the match 0-6, 6-3, 6-4. The two players had identical numbers of aces, double faults, break points converted, and service breaks, but Lajovic trailed Harris in first-serve win percentage.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30MarrakechQ2clayDusan Lajovic6-4 6-4
2020-01-06Atp CupRRhardDusan Lajovic3-6 7-6 6-3
2019-09-23ChengduR16hardLloyd Harris6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.7
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
46
42
Break points saved·Even
89
87
Break points won·Slight edge
12
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Harris L.76%
Lajovic D.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Harris L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+82 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1558
5.6Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1620
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
43
47

Harris L.: played today · 7 matches, 165 games (7d) · Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw