Taylor Fritz vs Dusan LajovicWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#7ATP
1909ELO
1857Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
#153ATP
1628ELO
1492Grass ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
35 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWLWL
Fritz T.
vs
Lajovic D.

Taylor Fritz faces Dusan Lajovic in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's semi-final.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Fritz T.94%
Lajovic D.6%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fritz T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+365 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Grass Elo 1492
8.5Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1628
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.8Won 64% in GBR (39)
Country comfort
4.0Won 33% in GBR (24)
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Fritz T.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Lajovic D.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
95
Break points won·Clear edge
60
36
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Fritz T.Lajovic D.
100
Serve
11
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
70

Fritz T.: 8 days rest · 5 matches (14d) · Lajovic D.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayTaylor Fritz6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardTaylor Fritz5-0 RET
2018-05-21LyonQFclayDusan Lajovic7-5 6-1
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Fritz T.
Lajovic D.
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Kwon S.
Paul T.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.