Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkova — Toronto Round of 64
DEN27
Tauson C.
Clara Tauson faces Nikola Bartunkova in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Clara Tauson is the paper favourite — ranked #30, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage — but Nikola Bartunkova arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on hard to Clara Tauson's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Clara Tauson comes in with 7 days of rest and 36 games in 14d, vs Nikola Bartunkova's 11 and 87.
- Serve & return: Clara Tauson brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 56), Nikola Bartunkova the stronger return game (Return Rating 33).
- Last match: Nikola Bartunkova edged Bianca Andreescu in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTauson C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d) · Bartunkova N.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.