Nikola Bartunkova vs Bianca Andreescu — Toronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
Nikola Bartunkova
CZE
Nikola Bartunkova
#41WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLWWL
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Bianca Andreescu
CANWC
Bianca Andreescu
#174WTA
1701ELO
1690Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLLWWL
Bartunkova N.
vs
Andreescu B.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Bartunkova N.60%
Andreescu B.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bartunkova N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
7 common opponents · Bartunkova N. 5–3 · Andreescu B. 1–6
Bartunkova N. better · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bartunkova N.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Andreescu B.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+30 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1690
6.1Overall Elo 1788
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1701
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

38 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
Bartunkova N.Andreescu B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bartunkova N.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Andreescu B.

Andreescu B.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bartunkova N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Bartunkova N.Andreescu B.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
72
64
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
59
Break points won·Slight edge
90
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
89
Tiebreaks·
—
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Bartunkova N.Andreescu B.
Freshness·
85
—

Bartunkova N.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw