Laura Samson vs Mona BarthelWarsaw Round of 32

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#122WTA
1690ELO
1545Hard ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#208WTA
1551ELO
1533Hard ELO
36 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Samson L.
5-7 3-6
Barthel M.
Samson L.
530
Barthel M.
762

Mona Barthel defeated Laura Samson in the Round of 32 of the Warsaw hard-court tournament, winning 7-5, 6-3. Barthel hit 4 aces to Samson's 1 and converted 45% of her break points, compared to Samson's 38%. Barthel won 71% of her first-serve points to Samson's 62%, and she broke Samson's serve 5 times, while losing her own 3 times.

Key context

  • Match story: Mona Barthel closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-13W75 Ricany 1R32hardMona Barthel7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
7.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Samson L.62%
Barthel M.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Samson L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+13 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1533
6.7Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1551
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Samson L.: 17 days rest · Barthel M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw