Martyna Kubka vs Mona BarthelWarsaw Round of 16

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#183WTA
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#208WTA
1551ELO
1533Hard ELO
36 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Kubka M.
5-7 4-6
Barthel M.
Kubka M.
540
Barthel M.
762

Mona Barthel defeated Martyna Kubka 7-5, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Warsaw hard-court tournament. Barthel hit 6 aces and 5 double faults, while winning 71 percent of her first-serve points and converting 50 percent of her break points. Barthel won 6 service breaks to Kubka's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
68%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
7.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Kubka M.83%
Barthel M.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kubka M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+32 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1533
5.6Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1551
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.78 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
95

Kubka M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Barthel M.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
35°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw