Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic Van De ZandschulpMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#87ATP
1738ELO
1672Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWLL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#69ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWLL
Mpetshi Perricard G.
vs
Van De Zandschulp B.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard faces Botic Van De Zandschulp in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Botic Van De Zandschulp holds the paper edge — ranked #69, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Mpetshi Perricard G.43%
Van De Zandschulp B.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
13 common opponents · Mpetshi Perricard G. 4–10 · Van De Zandschulp B. 7–7
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1672
Surface ELO
5.5+39 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1738
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1743
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
27%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
18.3
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mpetshi Perricard G.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Mpetshi Perricard G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
92
Break points won·Clear edge
9
33
Deciding sets·Clear edge
87
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Van De Zandschulp B.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-17Winston-SalemSFhardBotic Van De Zandschulp6-4 7-5

Draw