Adam Walton vs Jenson BrooksbyMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#96ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$531kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWWWW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#77ATP
1694ELO
1682Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLWLW
Walton A.
vs
Brooksby J.

Adam Walton faces Jenson Brooksby in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Jenson Brooksby holds the paper edge — ranked #77.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Walton A.42%
Brooksby J.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
11 common opponents · Walton A. 5–8 · Brooksby J. 5–10
Walton A. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1669
Surface ELO
5.2+13 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

38 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Walton A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Brooksby J.

Brooksby J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
38
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
87
Break points won·Dominant
4
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
61
75

Walton A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Brooksby J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CRain
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 93%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw