Adam Walton vs Justin Boulais — Montreal Qualifying Final
AUS8
Walton A.
Adam Walton faces Justin Boulais in the Montreal qualifying final on hard. Adam Walton holds the paper edge — ranked #96, a roughly 340-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Walton A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Adam Walton comes in with 3 days of rest and 117 games in 14d, vs Justin Boulais's 4 and 50.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Adam Walton has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 38 vs 5).
- Surface form: Adam Walton 2 of 4, Justin Boulais 1 of 4 on hard recently — Adam Walton the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadWalton A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d) · Boulais J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.