Marcelina Podlinska vs Urszula Radwanska

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Q8

POL4

Marcelina Podlinska

#721WTA

27 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLWLWLLL

0 — 2

Sets

Sunday, 2 August 2026 · 11:30

hard

CENTER COURT · 2nd on

POL

Urszula Radwanska

#644WTA

1271ELO

1246Hard ELO

35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWLLLWLLL

Podlinska M.

1-6 3-6

Radwanska U.

Podlinska M.

130

Radwanska U.

662

Urszula Radwanska won the final of the Warsaw hard-court tournament, defeating Marcelina Podlinska 6-1, 6-3. Radwanska hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 75% of her first serves and converting 67% of break points. She broke Podlinska's serve 4 times en route to the victory.

Key context

Match story: Urszula Radwanska dropped just 4 games past Marcelina Podlinska.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Podlinska M.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Radwanska U.

Radwanska U.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Podlinska M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Podlinska M.Radwanska U.

1st serve in·Clear edge

74%

57%

1st serve points won·Even

56%

58%

2nd serve points won·Even

42%

41%

Service points won·Even

52%

51%

Return points won·Slight edge

48%

42%

Break points saved·Slight edge

46%

53%

Aces / match·Dominant

0.5

3.9

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.1

6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Podlinska M.46%

Radwanska U.54%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Podlinska M.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Radwanska U.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.25 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

2.63 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

6.0Clay → Hard

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Podlinska M.Radwanska U.

Freshness·Even

100

Podlinska M.: 15 days rest · Radwanska U.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Slowlow bounce, long rallies

SlowFast

Weather

22°COvercast

Wind 8 km/hHumidity 70%

Marcelina Podlinska vs Urszula Radwanska — Warsaw Q8

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return