Emerson Jones vs Lanlana TararudeeToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#139WTA
1671ELO
1664Hard ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWLLL
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
#78WTA
1678ELO
1686Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWWL
Jones E.
vs
Tararudee L.

Emerson Jones faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Lanlana Tararudee holds the paper edge — ranked #78, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Jones E.41%
Tararudee L.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tararudee L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Jones E. 0–3 · Tararudee L. 2–1 · small sample
Tararudee L. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1664
Surface ELO
5.3+22 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1671
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1678
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

29 vs 45 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jones E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Tararudee L.

Tararudee L.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jones E.

Serve advantage — Tararudee L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
54
75

Jones E.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d) · Tararudee L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 93%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-28W35 Traralgon 2R32hardLanlana Tararudee7-5 6-1

Draw