Alexander Donski vs Kenny De SchepperGrodzisk Mazowiecki Qualifying Semi-final

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#538ATP
1428ELO
1443Hard ELO
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLWLL
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 13 · 4th on
#949ATP
39 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLWLLL
Donski A.
vs
De Schepper K.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Donski A.52%
De Schepper K.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.98 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
52%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
80%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
72%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
30%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
73%
Aces / match·Even
8.8
9.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Donski A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs De Schepper K.

De Schepper K.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Donski A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Donski A.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw