Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier — Montreal Round of 128
AUSQ
Vukic A.
Aleksandar Vukic faces Daniel Altmaier in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Daniel Altmaier is the paper favourite — ranked #62, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage — but Aleksandar Vukic has won both their previous meetings.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Aleksandar Vukic comes in with 1 days of rest and 150 games in 14d, vs Daniel Altmaier's 11 and 47.
- Head-to-head: Aleksandar Vukic leads the head-to-head 2–0, 1–0 on hard. Last met at Tokyo 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadVukic A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 80 games (7d) · Altmaier D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | R16 | hard | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | R128 | grass | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-3 7-6 3-6 7-5 |