Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel AltmaierTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#61ATP
1734ELO
1652Hard ELO
$574kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
Vukic A.
6-4 6-2
Altmaier D.
Vukic A.
662
Altmaier D.
420

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Daniel Altmaier 6-4 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Altmaier came in ranked #61. Aleksandar Vukic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR128grassAleksandar Vukic6-3 7-6(1) 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Altmaier D.

Altmaier D.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Altmaier D.
21
Serve
17
7
Return
4

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
33%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.3
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
58
71
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Clear edge
16
34
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
92
Tiebreaks·Even
80
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 43 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
5.6+54 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1734
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
3.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
93

Vukic A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Altmaier D.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%