Jamie Mackenzie vs Max DahlinBonn Semi-final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#581ATP
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#880ATP
20 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Mackenzie J.
6-4 5-7 6-4
Dahlin M.
Mackenzie J.
6562
Dahlin M.
4741

Jamie Mackenzie defeated Max Dahlin in the semifinals of the Bonn tournament on clay, prevailing 6-4, 5-7, 6-4. Mackenzie served 3 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Dahlin had 9 aces and 4 double faults. Mackenzie converted 29% of break points and won 2 service breaks to Dahlin's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jamie Mackenzie edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
50%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
59%
Return points won·Even
32%
35%
Break points saved·Even
47%
43%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.3
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Mackenzie J.28%
Dahlin M.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dahlin M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.34 of last 7 on clay
Surface form
6.63 of last 5 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
88

Mackenzie J.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dahlin M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 20%

Draw