Jan Choinski vs Jamie MackenzieBonn Final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Final
#77ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$265kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#581ATP
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLW
Choinski J.
6-3 6-2
Mackenzie J.
Choinski J.
662
Mackenzie J.
320

Jan Choinski won the final of the Bonn tournament, defeating Jamie Mackenzie 6-3, 6-2 on clay. Choinski hit 5 aces and had a 70% first-serve win percentage, while Mackenzie had no aces. Choinski converted 50% of break points and had 4 service breaks to Mackenzie's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
32%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
47%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
10.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Choinski J.88%
Mackenzie J.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Choinski J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.09 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.05 of last 8 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
92

Choinski J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d) · Mackenzie J.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw