Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti — Washington Quarter-final
ITA4
Jodar R.
Rafael Jodar faces Lorenzo Musetti in the Washington quarter-final on hard. Lorenzo Musetti holds the paper edge — ranked #15.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Lorenzo Musetti rising, Rafael Jodar cooling.
- Serve & return: Lorenzo Musetti leads on Serve Rating (49), Rafael Jodar on Return Rating (71).
- Last match: Rafael Jodar dropped just 5 games past Kei Nishikori.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJodar R.: played today · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Musetti L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.