Ugo Humbert vs Ben Shelton — Washington Round of 16

Washington · ATP · Round of 16
Ugo Humbert
FRA
Ugo Humbert
#28ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 4th on
Ben Shelton
USAWC
Ben Shelton
#10ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLWW
Humbert U.
7-6 3-6 4-6
Shelton B.
Humbert U.
77341
Shelton B.
63662

Ben Shelton defeated Ugo Humbert in the Round of 16 at the Washington tournament, advancing with a 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 victory on hard courts. Shelton hit 8 aces and 4 double faults, converting 38% of break points and winning 79% of first-serve points. Humbert recorded 7 aces and 5 double faults, converting 17% of break points and winning 80% of first-serve points.

Around the match

  • “Happy that I was mentally stable and tough enough to get through that match. A tricky match to be in command and feel like playing really well, then have a rain delay and the guy come out on fire. That was tough to swallow losing that second set the way I did, but happy with the way I fought.”

    Shelton B.Flashscore.com ↗

  • “Getting my ass out of bed and putting in the work is the easiest part of my job.”

    Shelton B.ATP Tour ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardBen Shelton6-3 7-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
Humbert U.Shelton B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
Service points won·Even
67%
71%
Return points won·Even
35%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.2
11.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Humbert U.Shelton B.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
79
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
24
47
Deciding sets·Dominant
28
96
Tiebreaks·Even
91
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Humbert U.32%
Shelton B.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Humbert U.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Shelton B.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1843
Surface ELO
6.0+78 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1960
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Humbert U.Shelton B.
Freshness·Dominant
88
63

Humbert U.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw